This Hedge Fund Strategy Ain’t Overcrowded

Everyone wants to be a contrarian.  Here is an interesting suggestion that a hedge fund can be contrary by selling stocks short.  The evidence here is not very convincing, since even those hedge funds that are not labeled as "short only" maintain substantial short positions and use leverage. But first, take a look at the […]

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Incomes and Spending Healthy, Another Measure of Inflation Decelerates, Leading Indicators Point to Further Strength

Here is a nice summary of current economic data and a thoughtful conclusion: Link: Incomes and Spending Healthy, Another Measure of Inflation Decelerates, Leading Indicators Point to Further Strength. – Personal Income for November rose .3% versus estimates of a .3% increase and a .5% gain in October. – Personal Spending for November rose .3% […]

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We’re Just Wild about Barry

The end of the calendar year provides a time for reflection, assessment, and a look ahead.  As I sort through my notes and ideas, I am acting early on the resolution to post more of them in (semi-) real time for our group.  We will still collect the various threads and provide more comprehensive analyses […]

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Sneaky Street Conspiracy?

Tucked inside this recent post joining the debate on who is the bigger contrarian, is an assertion that Wall Street is tricking us into thinking the market is attractive when it is really almost 30% overvalued.  Barry Ritholtz invokes a big name, Cliff Asness,  and states that he has researched the forward earnings comparison.  This […]

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What are the odds of 2006 being a positive year?

Here’s an interesting topic from Barry Ritholtz’s site, The Big Picture. Link: What are the odds of 2006 being a positive year?. I just had an interesting conversation with Mike Panzner, Director of Institutional Sales Trading at Rabo Securities. Mike is a quant who has an interesting take on the markets. Assuming the SP 500 […]

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