Weighing the Week Ahead: The Market Risk from Current Crises

(August 10, 2014) In the past week there has been a dramatic change for the worse in everything we have been tracking in our “Ugly” section. Risks that are generally described with the euphemism of “geopolitical” have become expanded military actions – Ukraine, Gaza, and Iraq. With no sign of an early resolution, the crises […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Will the Fed’s Experiment End Badly?

  Put together these ingredients: The biggest weekly market decline in two years, the winding down of earnings season, and a light week for economic data. The result? Financial TV producers will be seeking experts to explain whether we are starting a major correction. Analyzing the Fed will be a favorite theme. Unless and until […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Can Earnings Growth Reignite the Stock Rally?

To the surprise of many observers, stocks have survived a series of recent challenges. As Q214 earnings reports starts begin, the questions has changed: Can strong corporate earnings spark a renewed rally in stocks? Prior Theme Recap Two weeks ago I expected that speculation about a market correction would dominate the time before earnings season […]

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Is the Fed behind the Curve?

6/21/14 Once again, the market focus has turned to the Fed. For many months the official Fed policy has included an inflation target, an annual rate of 2%. For many months I have written that inflation will not matter until this level is in play. Suddenly, after a single month of data approaching this range, […]

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